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Current Status and Future Prospects


Ukraine’s aspiration to join the European Union (EU) has dominated political discourse in recent years, especially in light of geopolitical events that have shaped Eastern Europe. The question of whether Ukraine is part of the European Union is nuanced. As of 2025, Ukraine is not an EU member state but holds candidate status and is actively engaged in accession negotiations. Following Russia’s invasion in 2022, Ukraine submitted its EU membership application, catalyzing a rapid political and institutional response from the European Commission and Council. The accession process officially opened in June 2024, signaling Ukraine’s formal entry into a rigorous enlargement pathway that hinges upon comprehensive reforms and unanimous agreement among existing member states.

Historical Context and EU-Ukraine Relations

Ukraine’s EU integration ambitions trace back several decades, with initial signs of partnership emerging through the European Neighbourhood Policy and later the Association Agreement signed in 2014. This accord laid the groundwork for political association and economic integration, including a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area, which came fully into force in 2017. These agreements deepened Ukraine’s alignment with EU norms but stopped short of membership aspirations.

Tensions with Russia, culminating in military conflicts from 2014 onward and escalating in 2022, dramatically shifted perspectives within the EU regarding Ukraine’s status. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s submission of the membership application in February 2022 sparked endorsements from several EU leaders and member states pushing for an expedited process. The European Commission’s recommendation to grant Ukraine candidate status followed in June 2022, soon ratified by the European Council and Parliament.

Historical Milestones in Ukraine-EU Relations

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  • Signing of the Association Agreement in 2014, including the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area.
  • Full enforcement of trade agreements by 2017, boosting economic alignment.
  • Ukraine’s application for EU membership in February 2022 following Russia’s invasion.
  • Granting of candidate status by the European Council in June 2022.
  • Launch of accession negotiations alongside Moldova in June 2024.
  • Continuous reform efforts focusing on judiciary, anti-corruption, and media laws.
  • Significant political support from EU leaders such as Ursula von der Leyen advocating for Ukraine’s EU future.

These milestones illustrate Ukraine’s steady, though arduous, progress towards European integration amid geopolitical challenges.

Current Status of Ukraine’s EU Accession Process

Negotiations to accession consist of numerous chapters, each covering specific policy sectors and legislative benchmarks consistent with the Copenhagen Criteria, ensuring democratic governance, rule of law, and market economy readiness. The European Commission has identified seven critical reforms Ukraine must implement, focusing on constitutional, judicial, anti-corruption, and media legislation adjustments.

By mid-2025, Ukraine has made significant progress in areas such as judicial reform, anti-corruption measures, and media independence, advancing its readiness for EU membership steps. However, some hurdles remain, including political opposition from a few EU member states citing concerns about stability and conflict spillover risks. These challenge the unanimous consensus required to admit new members.

Support from EU Leaders and Public Opinion

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has been a prominent advocate, stating unequivocally that Ukraine’s future lies within the EU. Supporters across Europe, including countries like Poland, Lithuania, and Germany, bolster Ukraine’s bid, highlighting its strategic importance and alignment with European values. Public opinion polls reflect this trend, showing strong approval for Ukraine’s EU membership in many EU countries, yet skepticism persists in some quarters, complicating accession prospects.

Challenges and Future Outlook

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The path to full EU membership is neither swift nor guaranteed. Ukraine must continue implementing reforms amidst ongoing conflict and economic challenges while navigating diplomatic complexities within the bloc. Transition periods, especially in sectors like agriculture and labor mobility, may be necessary to address concerns from EU member states about competitive impacts and migration flows.

Nevertheless, accession negotiations that began in June 2024 represent a pivotal milestone. With continued political will, reform dedication, and international support, Ukraine’s integration into the EU by the end of the decade remains an attainable, though ambitious, objective.

Ukraine currently holds the status of an EU candidate and has been actively engaged in accession negotiations since they officially began in 2024. Its progress toward full membership depends heavily on the implementation of rigorous reforms, particularly in areas such as judicial independence, anti-corruption measures, and safeguarding media freedom. Support for Ukraine’s accession has strengthened significantly among EU leaders and populations across member states, with prominent figures like European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen backing Ukraine’s European integration. Nonetheless, some political opposition within certain member states persists. Concurrently, Ukraine is managing ongoing challenges stemming from conflict and complex economic conditions as it works through the accession process, reflecting both the difficulty and determination involved in joining the EU.

Challenges and Reforms on Ukraine’s Path to EU Membership

Ukraine’s journey toward European Union membership is marked by both remarkable resilience and significant challenges. On the reform front, Ukraine must fulfill stringent criteria encompassing judicial independence, anti-corruption measures, media freedom, and constitutional governance to align with EU standards. Despite substantial progress, such as establishing a unified anti-corruption monitoring system and advancing digitalization of judicial processes, hurdles remain, including political pushback and the need for reforms within the Supreme Court. These requirements are not merely bureaucratic; they form the bedrock of rule of law and democratic principles crucial for EU integration. Moreover, the ongoing conflict with Russia compounds these challenges by straining institutional capacity and economic stability, which necessitates international support and coordination to maintain momentum in reforms.Additionally, the political dimension of Ukraine’s accession is complex. The process demands unanimous consent from all 27 EU member states, and certain countries harbor concerns regarding stability, governance, and the possible spillover of conflict into the EU. For accession to move forward efficiently, the EU may consider adjusting its enlargement methodology, including streamlining decision-making procedures and reforming mechanisms such as the Common Agricultural Policy to accommodate Ukraine’s unique circumstances. The interplay between political will, reform implementation, and external support will determine whether Ukraine can seize its narrow window of opportunity and join the EU within the coming decade.

Brussels Morning is a daily online newspaper based in Belgium. BM publishes unique and independent coverage on international and European affairs. With a Europe-wide perspective, BM covers policies and politics of the EU, significant Member State developments, and looks at the international agenda with a European perspective.

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